Elections & The Taliban

by Nathan Hamm on 10/21/2004

Eurasia Daily Monitor reports on what the Afghan election might signal about the Taliban,

However, there are credible reports that the apparent success of the presidential elections has raised hopes that the Taliban are now a spent force. Observers believe that the Taliban failed to disrupt the elections on October 9 because of deep divisions within its ranks. There are reports that fugitive Taliban leader Mullah Mohammad Omar has been facing “serious disagreements” with his commanders because of their failure to disrupt the elections.

U.S. military spokesman Scott Nelson said the information was based on intelligence reports coming from Afghanistan and Pakistan that said “significant demoralization” among the Taliban and frustration over Omar’s “lack of effectiveness” contributed to the lack of Taliban efforts to disrupt the presidential election.

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Nathan is the founder and Principal Analyst for Registan, which he launched in 2003. He was a Peace Corps Volunteer in Uzbekistan 2000-2001 and received his MA in Central Asian Studies from the University of Washington in 2007. Since 2007, he has worked full-time as an analyst, consulting with private and government clients on Central Asian affairs, specializing in how socio-cultural and political factors shape risks and opportunities and how organizations can adjust their strategic and operational plans to account for these variables. More information on Registan's services can be found here, and Nathan can be contacted via Twitter or email.

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