No Orange Revolution in Kyrgyzstan

by Laurence on 3/8/2005 · 1 comment

Says Osh’s Alisher Khamidov in this Eurasianet article:

In addition, the current round of protests lacks coordination. The Forum of Political Forces has actively participated in the Jalal-Abad action. But the protests elsewhere have been largely driven by local concerns that do not easily blend in with the broader attempt to force Akayev to leave office when his term is over. Opposition leaders have additionally not been able to organize large protests in the capital Bishkek.

The inability of the political opposition to forge a cohesive protest plan, backed by a clearly articulated alternative vision for the country’s future development, means that the protests stand little chance of attracting broad nationwide support. “The government has been able to exploit the differences among opposition leaders [and] obstruct access to the media so that there is not complete information within Kyrgyzstan about what is happening,” Hill said. “The government has [also] so far avoided the kind of incident, such as Aksy, that might trigger larger demonstrations.” [For additional information see the Eurasia insight archive].

Despite Akayev’s evident vulnerability, the opposition is not well positioned to foster the type of political change that has occurred in Ukraine and Georgia over the past 15 months, Hill suggested. “They [Kyrgyz opposition groups] still have a lot of work to do to become a truly viable opposition like the opposition groups in Georgia and Ukraine,” Hill continued.

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{ 1 comment }

Tim Russo March 8, 2005 at 4:03 pm

I trained opposition parties for about two weeks in Krgystan. This all sounds very familiar. What’s amazing is that I was there 6 years ago…and no progress.

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