Robert D. Kaplan on Uzbekistan and China

by Laurence on 5/8/2005 · 1 comment

ComingAnarchy has read Robert D. Kaplan’s new article on China in the Atlantic, and has something interesting to say:

5.) And he is on the same page with Nathan (here, here, here, and here, although perhaps not here).

The Chinese surely hope, for example, that our chilly attitude toward the brutal Uzbek dictator, Islam Karimov, becomes even chillier; this would open up the possibility of more pipeline and other deals with him, and might persuade him to deny us use of the air base at Karshi-Khanabad. Were Karimov to be toppled in an uprising like the one in Kyrgyzstan, we would immediately have to stabilize the new regime or risk losing sections of the country to Chinese influence.

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Nathan May 8, 2005 at 10:17 pm

Lest anyone get the wrong idea, I disagree with Kaplan on this. I agree on the need for engagement, but not for Kaplan’s reason. Because, to be frank, I think he’s nuts about this.

And I just now noticed another part… What pipelines? I could’ve sworn that Uzbekistan’s pretty much got it’s gas sold to Russia for quite a number of years to come.

Crap, there are so many things wrong with that paragraph, but so little time…

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