Did Alisher Khamidov Predict Andijan Violence?

by Laurence on 6/21/2005

IMHO, he did, in this October 21, 2003 article Eurasia Insight – Hizb-ut-Tahrir Faces Internal Split in Central Asia. Khamidov noted that violent splinter groups were planning attacks to bring about Islamist goals. Khamidov specifically discussed Akramiya:

Meanwhile, Akramiya was founded in 1996 by Akram Yuldashev, a former Hizb-ut-Tahrir member from Andijan, Uzbekistan’s third largest city. In a pamphlet entitled Yimonga Yul (Way to Faith), Yuldashev argued that Hizb-ut-Tahrir’s non-violent tactics were devised for Arab states and were ill-suited for success in Central Asia. In splitting with Hizb-ut-Tahrir, Yuldashev argued that Islamic governance should be established on a local level, rather than on a national level.

According to Babadjanov, Yuldashev attempted to develop tactics suited to the Ferghana Valley’s specific social and economic conditions. The region is Central Asia’s breadbasket, but suffers from overpopulation. Yuldashev based his tactics on the formation of cells that grouped individuals from the same professional background. Yuldashev also urged that his organization seek legalized status so that it could operate openly on the grassroots level.

It would be interesting to read an updated Khamidov analysis of Akriyama’s role in the events of May 13, 2005.

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