It’s Beginning to Look a Lot Like Chaos

by Nathan Hamm on 10/20/2005 · 4 comments

I don’t have time to give it much attention, but what the heck is going on in Azerbaijan? Ministers, protesters, and candidates are all seeing the insides of jail cells. RIA Novosti says Aliev must be guided by considerations of political stability, but brother, he don’t appear to be equipped for the job.

Robert Mayer has more.

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Nathan is the founder and Principal Analyst for Registan, which he launched in 2003. He was a Peace Corps Volunteer in Uzbekistan 2000-2001 and received his MA in Central Asian Studies from the University of Washington in 2007. Since 2007, he has worked full-time as an analyst, consulting with private and government clients on Central Asian affairs, specializing in how socio-cultural and political factors shape risks and opportunities and how organizations can adjust their strategic and operational plans to account for these variables. More information on Registan's services can be found here, and Nathan can be contacted via Twitter or email.

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Robert Mayer October 20, 2005 at 4:59 pm

This is looking like its going to be more of a violent than a velvet revolution. Ugh.

Breed October 21, 2005 at 5:19 am

Azeri colleagues point out to me that all those ousted are the YerAz, and the Nakhchivanis have kicked them out. No shortage of money/influence among the YerAz, so if you’re in Baku, stay well clear of the fan!

Bakinets October 24, 2005 at 12:36 am

Previous comment is not completely true — Farhad Aliyev is not a Yeraz, just an oligarch who fell afoul of people more powerful than him. Ali Insanov is a Yeraz, but more to the point he was so corrupt that next to him Ilham Aliyev looks like Ralph Nader. No one will shed a tear for him or do anything to support him. Meanwhile they are saying that Farhad has been tried and convicted a three-month sentence: translation, he’s done a deal. No revolution this time around, of that I am certain.

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