Baluchistan Is Just Like Colorado!

by Joshua Foust on 4/20/2009 · 8 comments

Or so says renowned global affairs expert Robert Kaplan. Seriously?

To travel the Makran coast is to experience the windy, liberating flatness of Yemen and Oman and their soaring, sawtooth ramparts the color of sandpaper, rising sheer off a desert floor pockmarked with thornbushes. Here, along a coast so empty that you can almost hear the echoing camel hooves of Alexander’s army, you lose yourself in geology. An exploding sea bangs against a knife-carved apricot moonscape of high sand dunes, which, in turn, gives way to crumbly badlands. Farther inland, every sandstone and limestone escarpment is the color of bone. Winds and seismic and tectonic disruptions have left their mark in tortuous folds and uplifts, deep gashes, and conical incrustations that hark back far before the age of human folly.

Oh, wait, that’s when he calls it Yemen or Khorasan.

The Pakistani government might not control the desert and mountain fastnesses of Baluchistan, with their rebellious and smuggling tribes and dacoits, or bandits. But it can be wherever it wants, whenever it wants: to extract minerals, to grab land, to build highways and bases. Think of the Pakistani government’s relationship to its southwestern province of Baluchistan as similar to that of Washington to the American West in the mid-19th century, when the native American Indians still moved freely, though decreasingly so, and the cavalry had strategic outposts. (Emphasis mine)

Right, there we are: the Baloch are just like the American Indians, only without all those parallels. Kaplan gets around to saying that the analogy really isn’t appropriate, but by then he’s 600 words in, and I’m left wondering why he bothered. To be fair about the grandiloquent language in the first extract, there actually are a number of Baloch merchants in Oman.

But when he says things like how all the Russians wanted when they invaded Afghanistan was access to Gwadar—an appalling mischaracterization of a war he once described in starkly different terms—or that Benazir Bhutto decided to support the Taliban in 1994 not to try for a stable power next door but to build a Unocal pipeline to (you guessed it) Gwadar four years before Unocal even tried pitching the idea to Ashgabat or Islamabad, or imagining a future Gwadar with oil and gas pipelines that will never be built, you have to wonder just what the hell he thinks he is talking about.

As my friend Nitin Pai has noted meticulously (and repeatedly), it is remarkable how very wrong he gets it… especially considering that in the 1980s he was quite insightful about the forces shaping the area. What gives?

No, I did not read past, “What was so fantastic about Gwadar was its present-day reality.” I wanted to preserve the arteries in my head.


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This post was written by...

– author of 1801 posts on Registan.net.

Joshua Foust is a Fellow at the American Security Project and the author of Afghanistan Journal: Selections from Registan.net. His research focuses primarily on Central and South Asia. Joshua is a correspondent for The Atlantic and a columnist for PBS Need to Know. Joshua appears regularly on the BBC World News, Aljazeera, and international public radio. Joshua is also a regular contributor to Foreign Policy’s AfPak Channel, and his writing has appeared in the New York Times, Reuters, and the Christian Science Monitor. Follow him on twitter: @joshuafoust

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{ 8 comments }

TCHe April 20, 2009 at 4:54 pm

It’s Kaplan! Why even bother?

(The folks who like his … errr … “style” will still praise him for his … err … “insights” and we, well we know better)

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Joshua Foust April 20, 2009 at 5:03 pm

I really don’t know. I just couldn’t help it. Maybe it’s because people — important people, who make decisions — are starting to listen to him again.

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michaelhancock April 20, 2009 at 5:12 pm

And this is right after I made the jerky comment on ComingAnarchy about the useless habit of analogizing your way to sounding smart. I really like that site, except for the Kaplanizing. Does that even make sense?

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Joshua Foust April 20, 2009 at 5:45 pm

I agree — I generally like Coming Anarchy except for the almost creepy Kaplan-worship (even if it makes sense, given their title).

Your complaint about the ceaseless analogizing is in line with my own… and Nathan’s, for that matter. Analogies—ESPECIALLY historical analogies—are great so long as they compare apples to apples, or allow that the importance probably lies in the differences between the two situations. For example, back during the run up to the Iraq War, there were many arguments to be made against the anti-war side, but “this is replaying Munich” was not one of them. Alas.

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Josh Mull April 20, 2009 at 7:09 pm

Kaplan’s fantasy world completely aside, what specifically is wrong with comparing Baluchistan to American Indians? And if not there, what about anywhere else in Pakistan? What’s the difference, in spirit if not reality, between an “Indian reservation” and a Federally Administered Tribal Area?

Asking because I’m legitimately curious, not because I think Kaplan has a point (he doesn’t)

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Joshua Foust April 20, 2009 at 8:35 pm

Let’s start with religion: Americans were white Christians pushing aside a scattered, semi-nomadic, animist culture. If Pakistan treated, say, the Kalasha of Chitral the way the U.S. treated its Indians, then maybe we’d have a case.

The most important thing is, the Pashtuns of Pakistan had a vote during Partition whether or not to remain a part of Pakistan, and the Pakistani state at least officially asserts sovereignty over the FATA in a way the U.S. government does not over the various Indian Reservations. And while Balochistan is involved in an active resistance movement against Pakistan, that didn’t really become widescale until the discovery of natural gas deposits.

There are more reasons the two are just not comparable starting with how Balochistan is a province, and Reservations are not, and the FATA is not a Reservation the way we consider it. I mean, it’s just not something you can really say if you know what you’re talking about.

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Nick April 22, 2009 at 12:05 pm

Agree with much of what’s been said here already. I just checked Kaplan’s
introduction (why, oh why?) to Taras Bulba – great novella, btw –
in which he compares the Ukrainian steppe with modern Central Asia, to
illustrate some point about borders and peoples. If I have one take on Kaplan,
it seems that he has taken to heart Thucydides’s dictum that history inevitably
repeats itself. For Kaplan, there is no contemporary situation that cannot be explained without historical analogy.

Reply

Steve LeVine April 22, 2009 at 5:41 pm

Hi Josh – fyi Unocal first got into the pipeline game in Ashgabat in July 1995. Best Steve

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